Ano PIB (millones C$) % Crecimiento PIBLN PIBTPDALN TPDA 1996 22535.7 10.022,3057.74 1997 23429.6 3.9710.0623907.78 199824299.2 3.7110.1024217.79 1999.

Presentación del tema: "Ano PIB (millones C$) % Crecimiento PIBLN PIBTPDALN TPDA 1996 22535.7 10.022,3057.74 1997 23429.6 3.9710.0623907.78 199824299.2 3.7110.1024217.79 1999."— Transcripción de la presentación:

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2 Ano PIB (millones C$) % Crecimiento PIBLN PIBTPDALN TPDA 1996 22535.7 10.022,3057.74 1997 23429.6 3.9710.0623907.78 199824299.2 3.7110.1024217.79 1999 26008.9 7.0410.1729607.99 2000 27075.7 4.1010.2129057.97 2001 27877.4 2.9610.2431228.05 2002 28087.5 0.7510.243,2728.09 2003 28795.5 2.5210.273,3578.12 2004 30325.2 5.3110.323,6228.19 2005 31623.9 4.2810.363,4058.13 200632858.23.9010.403,8498.26 200733893.43.1510.4338538.26 200834986.33.2210.46 4,088 8.32 200935686.02.0010.485,0398.52 Se correlaciona el TPDA con Ln PIB desde el ano 1998 3.57 La tasa promedio del PIB, del año 1999 al 2009, equivale al 3.57%, correlacionado el PIB con TPDA resulta una tasa de 3.21, que afectada por la elasticidad resulta de 4.4671 %. Por tanto se utilizará esta para proyectar el transporte de carga.

3 TASA DE PIB 1.372069251.03213761 3.21 Afectándola por la elasticidad Tasa Crecimiento = 0.04467128 TRANSPORTE DE CARGA QUINQUENIOElasticidad PIB vs. TPDAPIBTasa (%) 2010-20141.393.004.17 0.0417 2015-20191.393.504.87 0.04865 2020-20241.394.506.26 0.06255

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5 1999.005009967.002.9015.432960.007.99 2000.005098028.001.7615.442905.007.97 2001.005168500.001.3815.463122.008.05 2002.005238973.001.3615.473272.008.09 2003.005309446.001.3515.483357.008.12 2004.005379919.001.3315.503622.008.19 2005.005450392.001.3115.513405.008.13 2006.005523418.001.3415.523849.008.26 2007.005596445.001.3215.543853.008.26 2008.005669472.001.3015.554088.008.32 2009.005742499.001.2915.565039.008.52

6 TASA DE PIB 1.146214941.01374005 1.3740054 Tasa Crecimiento = 4.68535842

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8 Año199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007 20082009 PIB PER CÁPITA EN U$ 685.164698.672698.356724.477746.020772.469792.899767.640772.006829.794893.875958.5201,016.9861,122.850 TPDA (vpd) 23052390242129602905312232723357362234053849385340885039 LN PIB 6.536.55 6.596.616.656.686.646.656.726.806.876.927.02 LN TPDA 7.747.787.797.997.978.058.098.128.198.138.26 8.328.52

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10 AÑO VEHICULOS LIVIANOSPESADOS DE PASAJEROS BICICLETA S MOTOSAUTOSJEEP CAMIONE TA MbusMB15BUS 2009 6045387912571700708184 20106205528122641745728189 20116375678342711792748194 20126745828562781840769199 20136925988792861889789204 20147116149032931940809210 201574564394630720338410220 201678167499232221318810231 2017818707103933822349211242 2018858741108935423419611253 20198997771142371245410112266 20209528221209393259910712281 202110088711280416275111313298 202210679221356440291312014315 202311309761435466308512715334 2024119710341520494326613415354

11 PESADOS DE CARGA C2C2 LivianoC3C2R2T3S2T3S3OTROS 316280411214181 324287421220181 333295431226191 342303441232191 351311461238201 361320471244211 378335491256221 396351511268231 415368541281241 435386561295251 456404591309261 298428632327282 315453662346292 334480702367312 354508742388332 374538792411352

12 VEHICULOS PESADOS TPDATPDVPH Veh. Cons.Veh. Agric Veh. Tracc. Animal 11325039 3939412 1132 5174 4044423 1142 5312 4153434 1142 5475 4280448 1142 5621 4394460 1152 5772 4512472 1162 6049 4729495 1163 6341 4957518 1173 6646 5195543 1183 6966 5446570 1193 7301 5708597 2203 7546 5899617 2213 7990 6246653 2223 8460 6614692 2244 8958 7003732 2254 9485 7415776

13 Vehiculos Livianos V.L. 0.772 Vehículos Livianos V.L. 0.77 Buses P.B. 0.052Buses P.B. 0.05 T. de Carga P.C. 0.173 T. de Carga P.C. 0.17 Otros P.R. 0.003Otros P.R. 0.00 Total 1.00TotalTOTAL 1.00 Vehiculos Livianos V.L. 0.77Vehículos Livianos V.L. 0.79 Buses P.B. 0.05Buses P.B. 0.05 T. de Carga P.C. 0.17T. de Carga P.C. 0.15 Otros P.R. 0.00Otros P.R. 0.00 Total 1.00Total 1.00

14 Camino: ESTELI - CONDEGA Períod o (Años) VMH (vph) FPHVHMD Composición del Tráfico (%) Distrib. Direc. (%) Ancho de Carril (mts) Ancho de Homb. (mts) Vel de Proyect o (kph) Tipo de Terreno % de NO Rebase Liv.BusCam. 2010 4230.91465 77.20 %5.20% 17.27 %51/493.400.580Plano25 20144720.91519 77.28 %5.18% 17.20 %51/493.400.580Plano25 20195970.92652 77.28 %5.18% 17.20 %51/493.400.580Plano25 20247760.93834 79.18 %5.31% 15.17 %51/493.400.580Plano25 Camino: ESTELI - CONDEGA Período (Años) VMH (vph)VHMDSfNS RELACIÓN VHMD/Sf 2010 423465566C0.82 2014472519566C0.92 2019597652880D0.74 2024776834894D0.93

15 AÑO 2010 NS Autos Equivalentes SfCv/cfdfd fafa fPfP f VP ECEBER A2.01.82.21172,8000.070.980.741.000.82 B2.22.02.53072,8000.190.980.741.000.79 C2.22.02.55662,8000.350.980.741.000.79 D2.01.6 8792,8000.520.980.741.000.83 E2.01.6 1,8302,8000.920.980.871.000.83 AÑO 2014 NS Autos Equivalentes SfCv/cfdfd fafa fPfP f VP ECEBER A2.01.82.21172,8000.070.980.741.000.82 B2.22.02.53072,8000.190.980.741.000.79 C2.22.02.55662,8000.350.980.741.000.79 D2.01.6 8802,8000.520.980.741.000.83 E2.01.6 1,8312,8000.920.980.871.000.83

16 AÑO 2019 NS Autos Equivalentes SfCv/cfdfd fafa fPfP f VP ECEBER A2.01.82.21172,8000.070.980.741.000.82 B2.22.02.53072,8000.190.980.741.000.79 C2.22.02.55662,8000.350.980.741.000.79 D2.01.6 8802,8000.520.980.741.000.83 E2.01.6 1,8312,8000.920.980.871.000.83 AÑO 2024 NS Autos Equivalentes SfCv/cfdfd fafa fPfP f VP ECEBER A2.01.82.21192,8000.070.980.741.000.84 B2.22.02.53132,8000.190.980.741.000.81 C2.22.02.55772,8000.350.980.741.000.81 D2.01.6 8942,8000.520.980.741.000.84 E2.01.6 1,8612,8000.920.980.871.000.84

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18 Camino: Esteli - Condega Período (Años) VMH (vph) FPHVHMD Composición del Tráfico (%) Distrib. Direc. (%) Ancho de Carril (mts) Ancho de Homb. (mts) Vel de Proyect o (kph) Tipo de Terreno % de NO Rebase Liv.BusCam. 2010 4230.9146577.20%5.20%17.27%51/493.600.980Plano20 20144720.9151977.28%5.18%17.20%51/493.600.980Plano20 20195970.9265277.28%5.18%17.20%51/493.600.980Plano20 20247760.9383479.18%5.31%15.17%51/493.600.980Plano40 Camino: Estelí - Condega Período (Años) VMH (vph)VHMDSfNS RELACIÓN VHMD/Sf 2010 423465653C0.71 2014472519654C0.79 20195976521,016D0.64 20247768341,033D0.81

19 AÑO 2010 NS Autos Equivalentes SfCv/cfdfd fafa fPfP f VP ECEBER A2.01.82.21362,8000.070.980.851.000.82 B2.22.02.53552,8000.190.980.851.000.79 C2.22.02.56532,8000.350.980.851.000.79 D2.01.6 1,0152,8000.520.980.851.000.83 E2.01.6 1,9982,8000.920.980.951.000.83 AÑO 2014 NS Autos Equivalentes SfCv/cfdfd fafa fPfP f VP ECEBER A2.01.82.21362,8000.070.980.851.000.82 B2.22.02.53552,8000.190.980.851.000.79 C2.22.02.56542,8000.350.980.851.000.79 D2.01.6 1,0162,8000.520.980.851.000.83 E2.01.6 1,9992,8000.920.980.951.000.83

20 AÑO 2019 NS Autos Equivalentes SfCv/cfdfd fafa fPfP f VP ECEBER A2.01.82.21362,8000.070.980.851.000.82 B2.22.02.53552,8000.190.980.851.000.79 C2.22.02.56542,8000.350.980.851.000.79 D2.01.6 1,0162,8000.520.980.851.000.83 E2.01.6 1,9992,8000.920.980.951.000.83 AÑO 2024 NS Autos Equivalentes SfCv/cfdfd fafa fPfP f VP ECEBER A2.01.82.21382,8000.070.980.851.000.84 B2.22.02.53622,8000.190.980.851.000.81 C2.22.02.56662,8000.350.980.851.000.81 D2.01.6 1,0332,8000.520.980.851.000.84 E2.01.6 2,0322,8000.920.980.951.000.84

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22 AñoIPC% Crecimiento ipcLN IPCTPDALN TPDA 2001113.8 4.7331228.05 2002118.44.0421792624.773,2728.09 2003124.55.1520270274.823,3578.12 20041358.433734944.913,6228.19 2005147.79.4074074075.003,4058.13 2006162.510.020311445.093,8498.26 2007179.810.646153855.1938538.26 200821519.577308125.374,0888.32 2009221.12.8372093025.405,0398.52

23 TASA DE PIB 0.514699230.93574034 -6.4259661 Tasa Crecimiento =-0.03405762

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