International Research Center on El Niño (CIIFEN) I EELA International Conference, Santiago-Chile 2006 www.ciifen-int.org Rodney Martínez Güingla.

Presentación del tema: "International Research Center on El Niño (CIIFEN) I EELA International Conference, Santiago-Chile 2006 www.ciifen-int.org Rodney Martínez Güingla."— Transcripción de la presentación:

1 International Research Center on El Niño (CIIFEN) I EELA International Conference, Santiago-Chile 2006 www.ciifen-int.org Rodney Martínez Güingla

2 1. CIIFEN Mission and Concept 2. CIIFEN International activities 3. CIIFEN Products 4.Projects summary 5.Challenges and Potential Cooperation Opportunities with EELA. 1. CIIFEN Mission and Concept 2. CIIFEN International activities 3. CIIFEN Products 4.Projects summary 5.Challenges and Potential Cooperation Opportunities with EELA. Outline: Acknowledgement: To EELA Project Office to support our participation.

3 MISSION “To promote, complement, and start scientific and application research projects, necessary to improve the comprehension and early warning of El Niño Event, and the climate variability at regional scale in order to contribute in the reduction of their social and economical impacts and generate a solid base to promote sustainable development policies when facing new climate scenarios” “To promote, complement, and start scientific and application research projects, necessary to improve the comprehension and early warning of El Niño Event, and the climate variability at regional scale in order to contribute in the reduction of their social and economical impacts and generate a solid base to promote sustainable development policies when facing new climate scenarios”MISSION

4 CIIFEN Concept: A Regional ENSO, Climate Variability and Climate Change Early Warning System 4)To link Early warning Systemswith Government Framework at planning, sectoral and response level. 4)To link Early warning Systemswith Government Framework at planning, sectoral and response level. 3) Improve Information systems 3) Improve Information systems 1)Improve seasonal forecast 1)Improve seasonal forecast El Niño / La Niña Improve ENSO Early Warning Improve ENSO Early Warning 2)Generation of Climate Risk Scenarios 2)Generation of Climate Risk Scenarios

5 Some international activities 2006 CLIVAR/OOPC/ARGO Workshop Concepcion CLIVAR PACIFIC PANEL, HAWAII Conf. Internacional La RED-PNUD-OPS-CIIFEN Conferencia Iberaomericana, Ambiente, CC y Desastres Naturales.

6 International participations 2006 XXIV COF Mercosur, Porto Alegre Grupo Expertos Asuntos del Clima AR III, Montevideo COF en Beijing, China. COF Gran Cuerno de África, Kenia. Conferencia Internacional, Clima y Sociedad, Espoo, Finlandia. Conferencia Espacial de las Américas, Ecuador COF en Beijing, China. COF Gran Cuerno de África, Kenia. Conferencia Internacional, Clima y Sociedad, Espoo, Finlandia. Conferencia Espacial de las Américas, Ecuador EW3 Conference Bonn

7 Some milestones in CIIFEN History 1. 8 UN Resolutions: Last one 59/232, 2005 2.Be part of the Andean Strategy for Disaster Reductionpara (CAN-Dec. 591, July 2004) 3. Be part of the Hyogo Framework for Disaster Reduction 2006-2009. 4.Be part of CLIVAR Pacific Panel since November 2005. 5.Be part of Inter UN Agencies Task Force on disaster reduction. 6.Be part of the WMO Experts team on El Niño update. 7.To work in close cooperation with BCC (China), TCC (Japan), ECMWF (UE), Méteo France (France) 1. 8 UN Resolutions: Last one 59/232, 2005 2.Be part of the Andean Strategy for Disaster Reductionpara (CAN-Dec. 591, July 2004) 3. Be part of the Hyogo Framework for Disaster Reduction 2006-2009. 4.Be part of CLIVAR Pacific Panel since November 2005. 5.Be part of Inter UN Agencies Task Force on disaster reduction. 6.Be part of the WMO Experts team on El Niño update. 7.To work in close cooperation with BCC (China), TCC (Japan), ECMWF (UE), Méteo France (France)

8 5 Climate Outlook Forums 20 issues, Common methodology Distributed to 7000 key users in Latin America Reduce subjetivity. Issued with the participation of 6 countries, 8 institutions. 126 stations. Next COF VI: Armenia, Colombia, Nov. 2006. Available in Spanish and English COF V, Santiago, Chile, Diciembre 2005 CIIFEN PRODUCTS: Seasonal Forecast (2) Virtual discussion and models outputs correlation is required

9 22 issues, Produced every 15 days Evaluation of possible Regional ENOS effects (in the Eastern Pacific Mexico to Chile). Distributed to more than 7500 users. Simple and friendly format Addressed to decision makers and general public. Focused in evaluation of estimated SST and rainfall. Available in Spanish and English CIIFEN ENSO Bulletin (4)

10 REGIONAL COORDINATION: STATUS ON CLIMATE 2005 (South America)

11 Virtual Climate Applications Core Climate Prediction Module Climate Prediction Module Risk Scenarios Module Risk Scenarios Module Climate Information Services Module Climate Information Services Module Documents Management Module Documents Management Module E- repositories Data acquisit ion Data GIS Manage ment GIS ExpertSystemsExpertSystems Simulation Motor Data mining Core ACVID Bulletins EW messages Mail list Submissions Virtual Forums Dynamic Models Statistical Models Climate Risk Index Malaria Risk Scenarios Fisheries Outlook Forum ENSO Index Documents Center Virtual library Portal Publication repository Info services

12 CIIFEN in the Agriculture Dynamic Risk maps Dyinamic Threat Maps CIIFEN PRODUCTS: Climate-Agriculture Risk Index IRCA (4)

13 Digital repository based on expert systems. Implemented with the contribution of South America experts-. More than 800 contents. Free access. CIIFEN PRODUCTS: HEALTH-CLIMATE E-REPOSITORY (5)

14 To be launched on mid September 2006. Addreses to Marine and oceanographic community in Eastern Pacific issued with the contribution of NOAA, NASA, ECMWF, IRI and National oceanographic Institutions of Colombia and Ecuador. CIIFEN Products: Eastern Pacific Ocean Analysis (5)

15 Proyecto BID-BPR Seleccionado (RG-T1209) “Climate Information applied to Agriculture risk Management in Andean Countries” Proyecto BID-BPR Seleccionado (RG-T1209) “Climate Information applied to Agriculture risk Management in Andean Countries” Projects to be started (1) Start of Operations: October 2006 Amount of Cooperation: 785.000 USD

16 Information System and Processing of climate data 1 Definición red regional Identificación Estaciones claves e inventario de datos Digitalización De datos Configuración Base de datos Regional e interfases De acceso en cada SMN Downscaling dinámico Modelación Estadística (CPT), EXEVER Mapas de Riesgo agrícola Generación de Productos Validación inf Agrícola/suelo Patrones de vulnerabilidad Información cartográfica Información Socio-económica 2 digitadores/país/5 meses 2 PCs en cada SMHN Definición cultivos Taller de entrenamiento regional 1 experto /SMHN Pasantía en IRI (2 expertos) Taller de entrenamiento regional 1 experto /SMHN Pasantía en ECMWF y CPTEC (2 expertos) 1 consultor agrícola/SMHN 1 WS por SMHN Información satelital para uso del SMHN. Taller regional en Mapeo de Riesgo agrícola Dir + 1 experto /SMHN 1 experto /SMHN 1 Supervisor /SMHN 1 experto Por SMHN 1 experto Por SMHN 1 experto Por SMHN Apoyo del ProyectoContraparte SMHN

17 Information Dissemination System 2 Mapeo de actores Taller Nacional (1) Identificación Actores claves Alianzas medios De comunicación Alianzas Sector privado Alianzas redes Comunitarias Red regional de Distribución de Información y realimentación Material impreso Espacios de prensa Mensajes radiales Boletines climáticos regionales Mapas regionales de riesgo Apoyo logístico y organización SMHN 1 Consultor (Coord.Proyecto) 1 Asistente 1 experto /SMHN Apoyo del ProyectoContraparte SMHNs VENEZUELA-COLOMBIA-ECUADOR-PERÚ-BOLIVIA-CHILE Taller Nacional (2) 1 Consultor / país Pronósticos regionales Msjes.Telefonía móvil

18 Institutional Strengthening 3 Apoyo del ProyectoContraparte Reunión técnica de planificación y coordinación Pasantías en IRI, CPTEC y ECMWF Taller de trabajo/entrenamiento en el CPT Taller de trabajo/entrenamiento en downscaling dinámico Taller de trabajo/entrenamiento en mapeo de riesgo climático/agrícola Dir y 1 experto / SMHN 5 expertos seleccionados de entre los SMHN 1 Experto por SMHN 12 PCs (2 por cada SMHN) 6 Work stations (1 por cada SMHN) Software, manual y licencias para cada SMHN Información cartográfica satelital, uso de suelo y socio-económica para cada SMHN Apoyo financiero 2 Reuniones con usuarios a nivel nacional en cada país Visita de entrenadores regionales a cada SMHN para asesorar implantación de modelos y mapas de riesgo

19 Regional Data Base SENAMHI-PERÚ INAMHI ECUADOR SMN VENEZUELA IDEAM COLOMBIA SENAMHI BOLIVIA DMC-CHILE

20 Information System and Processing of climate data SENAMHI-PERÚ INAMHI ECUADOR SMN VENEZUELA IDEAM COLOMBIA SENAMHI BOLIVIA DMC-CHILE MODELOS ESTADÍSTICOS MODELO DINÁMICO

21 Sistema de diseminación de la información INAMHISEMETVEIDEAMSENAMHI-PerúDMC Productos REGIONALES: Pronósticos estacionales-Mapas de Riesgo Agrícola-Boletines SENAMHI-Bolivia REDES NACIONALES DE DISTRIBUCIÓN: MAPA DE ACTORES CLAVE EN CADA PAÍS Pequeños agricultores Sector privado Redes comunitarias Proceso participativo Perfil socio cultural Emponderamiento Productos Nacionales: Pronósticos estacionales-Mapas de Riesgo Agrícola-Boletines + Información adicional de SMNs Medios de comunicación Comunidades más vulnerables Alianzas estratégicas

22 Proyecto CIIFEN-CC-WSA (P406PICO628) “Generation of Climate Change Scenarios and Adaptation strategies formulation applied to preservation of ecosystems and associated rural comunities in Western South America countries. Proyecto CIIFEN-CC-WSA (P406PICO628) “Generation of Climate Change Scenarios and Adaptation strategies formulation applied to preservation of ecosystems and associated rural comunities in Western South America countries. Future Projects (2) Cooperation amount: 582.000 USD

23 Challenges and potential cooperation opportunities Our thematic networks requires VIRTUAL DISCUSSION SPACES. The information that we are generating could be shared on line with other partners to generate risk scenarios or another applications very useful for Disasters prevention and Mitigation The region requires to run ocean and atmosphre models using local data. We need to increase the number of beneficiaries of our information. We are trying to implement e-repositories for the region related with Climate applications. E-learning could be applied on Climate Risk management, modeling and data analysis. CIIFEN will be very pleased to promote EELA benefits across the region and will seek funding opportunities to implement Climate applications within EELA framework

24 International Research Center on El Niño Understanding El Niño, learning to live together… www.ciifen-int.org