IMMIGRATION IN TIME OF ECONOMIC CRISIS DOWNTURNS AND RETURNS IN US MEXICO RELATION Jorge Durand CLAS visiting professor
Latino/americanization of the migratory process
The demographic factor. TFR Children x women Region Europa Latin America
Massive emigration: the Caribbean Grenada69% Surinan55.8% Guyana55.6% Puerto Rico51% Barbados42% Jamaica39.1 Rep. Dominicana12% Cuba11% Haití9.8%
Massive emigration Central and South America El Salvador16% Nicaragua12% México10.7% Uruguay8.3% Ecuador7.7% Panamá7% Colombia4.3% Perú3.2%
Economic factor Economic grow in Latin America 2009 CEPAL Región5.2 for 2010 Brasil7.6 Argentina7.0 Perú6.7 Rep. Dominicana6.0 Panamá5.0 Bolivia4.5 Chile4.1 Colombia3.7
Political factor Violence in Mexico: 28,000 people dead for the narco/ war Guatemala: general decomposition Honduras: coup d'etat Nicaragua: sandinistas reloaded Venezuela: new emigrants
Migrational factors The impact of the migratory policy: rise the cost and the risk. Deterrence impact …? Dead at the border The wall The Arizona law SB 1070 The rise of deportation with Obama Massive migration: how much is too much…? The systemic remittances The impact of news and information
The migratory hump…?
National institute of Migration Transit migration by Mexico Nacionalidad Total138, Guatemala67, Honduras El Salvador Cuba Nicaragua Ecuador
H2A and A2B visas for mexicans