IMMIGRATION IN TIME OF ECONOMIC CRISIS DOWNTURNS AND RETURNS IN US MEXICO RELATION Jorge Durand CLAS visiting professor.

Presentación del tema: "IMMIGRATION IN TIME OF ECONOMIC CRISIS DOWNTURNS AND RETURNS IN US MEXICO RELATION Jorge Durand CLAS visiting professor."— Transcripción de la presentación:

1 IMMIGRATION IN TIME OF ECONOMIC CRISIS DOWNTURNS AND RETURNS IN US MEXICO RELATION Jorge Durand CLAS visiting professor

2 Latino/americanization of the migratory process

3 The demographic factor. TFR Children x women Region1960-19652000 Europa2.711.78 Latin America 5.972.52

4 Massive emigration: the Caribbean Grenada69% Surinan55.8% Guyana55.6% Puerto Rico51% Barbados42% Jamaica39.1 Rep. Dominicana12% Cuba11% Haití9.8%

5 Massive emigration Central and South America El Salvador16% Nicaragua12% México10.7% Uruguay8.3% Ecuador7.7% Panamá7% Colombia4.3% Perú3.2%

6 Economic factor Economic grow in Latin America 2009 CEPAL Región5.2 for 2010 Brasil7.6 Argentina7.0 Perú6.7 Rep. Dominicana6.0 Panamá5.0 Bolivia4.5 Chile4.1 Colombia3.7

7 Political factor  Violence in Mexico:  28,000 people dead for the narco/ war  Guatemala: general decomposition  Honduras: coup d'etat  Nicaragua: sandinistas reloaded  Venezuela: new emigrants

8 Migrational factors  The impact of the migratory policy: rise the cost and the risk.  Deterrence impact …? Dead at the border  The wall  The Arizona law SB 1070  The rise of deportation with Obama  Massive migration: how much is too much…?  The systemic remittances  The impact of news and information

9 The migratory hump…?

10

11 National institute of Migration Transit migration by Mexico Nacionalidad 2002200320042005200620072008 Total138,061187.614215.695240.269182.705120.45594.891 Guatemala67,33686.02394.404100.94884.52356.22242.057 Honduras41.80161.90072.68478.32658.00138.58430.751 El Salvador20.80029.30134.57242.67427.28717.20114.215 Cuba2545821.5162.6002.2051.4382.614 Nicaragua7512.1502.4533.9803.5901.2991.603 Ecuador2.4191.7892.4733.2761.4351.364786

12 H2A and A2B visas for mexicans