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EL IMPACTO SOCIAL, ECONOMICO Y CULTURAL DE LAS TELECOMUNICACIONES INALAMBRICAS Salvador Hanono Wireless Sales.

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Presentación del tema: "EL IMPACTO SOCIAL, ECONOMICO Y CULTURAL DE LAS TELECOMUNICACIONES INALAMBRICAS Salvador Hanono Wireless Sales."— Transcripción de la presentación:

1 EL IMPACTO SOCIAL, ECONOMICO Y CULTURAL DE LAS TELECOMUNICACIONES INALAMBRICAS Salvador Hanono Wireless Sales

2 Agenda >Tendencias del Mercado Inalámbrico >Telecomunicaciones Inalambricas- Evolucion e Impacto >La participación de Nortel en el cambio >Conclusiones

3 Mercado Inalámbrico

4 Y después de 5 mil años… … Regresamos a la movilidad

5 Tendencias del Mercado de Telecomunicaciones Fixed Mobile Usuarios 2004 Subscriber Growth Voice & Data Traffic Growth Broadband No Subscriber Growth Voice & Data Traffic Growth Technology Transition – Multimedia/3G Technology Transition – VoIP/Mutimedia Las fronteras se están perdiendo EMC, Yankee, RHK Telefonía FijaTelefonía inalámbrica

6 Dinámicas de la Industria Movil Source: Deutsche Bank EV-DO W-CDMA Number of commercial 3G networks in operation worldwide 3G / Broadband & Subscriber Growth Mercado dinámico 1.57 B de usuarios globalmente +23M / mes 5 Mercados con más crecimiento: China:+4M / mes Russia:+2M / mes India & U.S.:+1.5M / mes Brazil:+1M / mes Source: EMC China alone: ~20%

7 2G/3G Average Selling Price ($) Margin Customisation Design IPR Warranty Distribution Man. & Test Packaging Software Battery etc Multimedia Basic Modem GSM Average Selling Price($) ASP ($)

8 La Era Interactiva - Conocimiento Hoy, la economía esta basada en la información El acceso abre la puerto para una economía basada en la información: Promoviendo desarrollo social y económico Llegando a ser un Servicio de valor agregado Evolucionando las redes de telecomunicaciones Redes fijas Redes inalámbricas Rápido crecimiento de banda ancha con facilidades de cobertura a zonas rurales.

9 GSM/UMTS Operator Voice ARPU* Source: Pyramid Research 1Q 05 Global Voice ARPUs ($) 0,00 10,00 20,00 30,00 40,00 50,00 60, A2005E2006E2007E2008E2009E NA WE CALA Asia CEE Voice ARPUs will remain stable over the next 5 years in GSM/UMTS *ARPU: Average Revenue Per User $

10 GSM/UMTS Operator Data ARPU Data ARPU Evolution Pyramid Data as a % of Total ARPU* 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Data % North America Western Europe Japan Korea *Note1: SMS revenues are excluded in data ARPU Note 2: Voice ARPUs in this period remain generally flat Significant Data ARPU growth expected in all Regions

11 Telecomunicaciones Inalámbricas – Evolucion e Impactos

12 La nueva era de las comunicaciones >La primera linea es inalámbrica. MOBILITY ONLINE BROADBAND >Las comunicaciones son Web-based >Mas ancho de banda para nuevos servicios US Broadband Penetration Cable Comcast6,554,000549,000 Time Warner3,716,000168,000 Cox2,430,555184,446 Charter1,819,900108,500 Adelphia**1,253,40785,605 Cablevision1,259,02479,984 Bright House Networks*700,00025,000 Mediacom350,00023,000 Insight311,50037,600 RCN*215,0005,000 Cable One165,60013,300 Total Top Cable18,774,9861,279,435 DSL SBC4,679,000402,000 Verizon3,253,000309,000 Bell South1,872,000134,000 Qwest956,000103,000 Covad524,90010,555 Sprint432,00049,000 ALLTEL216,88522,351 Cincinnati Bell ,000 Century Tel120,86912,049 Total Top DSL12,177,6541,047,955 Total Broadband30,952,6402,327,390 Subscribers at End of 3Q 2004 Net Ads in 3Q 2004 US Broadband Subscribers and Net Additions, By Service Provider, Q Note: * Bright House Networks and RCN subscriber counts are estimates; ** Adelphia subscriber counts do not include properties owned by the Rigas family Source: Leightman Research Group, Inc. (LRG), November 2004

13 CDMA & UMTS Technology Timeline CDMA Evolution 2001 FL PDR : 10+ Mbps RL PDR : 1.8 Mbps UMTS DL PDR : 384 kbps UL PDR : 64 kbps GSM/UMTS Evolution GPRS DL PDR : 50 kbps UL PDR : 21 kbps EDGE DL PDR : 236 kbps UL PDR : 118 kbps xEV-DV Rel E Multi Carrier DV HSDPA 2007 HSDPA+ HSUPA OFDM MIMO GERAN Net sync. SAIC PFC, NACC DL PDR : 3.7 Mbps UL PDR : 300 kbps DL PDR : 14 Mbps UL PDR : 4 Mbps DL PDR : 20 Mbps UL PDR : 5 Mbps DL PDR : 40 Mbps UL PDR : 10 Mbps … Robust & Mature Technologies with Clear Evolution BCMCS + 1xRTT (1.25 MHz) FL PDR: kbps RL PDR: kbps 1xEV-DO - 0 (1.25 MHz) FL PDR : 2.4 Mbps RL PDR : kbps 1xEV-D0 - A (1.25 MHz) FL PDR : 3.1 Mbps RL PDR : 1.8 Mbps 1xEV-D0 - B (1.25 MHz) FL PDR : 10+ Mbps RL PDR : 1.8 Mbps Platinum Multicast (May be OFDM) MIMO ??

14 Creating Value That Produces Margin Lo Mobility Bandwidth Hi Hi Traffic information Electronic wallet Purchasing / shopping Stock quotes Directory listings Telemetry (measurement) Job dispatch Tourist information Mobile chat Event booking Banking Lotteries/Gambling Travel/Ticket bookings General news Fleet Management Field Force automation Auction (view image) Voice GSM/WAP Portals SMS Auction (place bid) Low Bandwidth Medium Bandwidth High Bandwidth 1xEV-DO 'Strike Zone' secondary applications Future: Mobile Interactive Multimedia 2-way video Games on demand Video on demand Music on demand Mobile Office Unified messaging with attachment Telemetry (surveillance)

15 Rich multimedia content provided with streaming and download Aplicaciones Mobile Cinema AdultsNews Broadcast KaraokeMusic On Demand Live Traffic Video VOD (Video on Demand) NATE AccessGame CategorySelect TetrisSelect LevelSelect PartnerCompete Online Game (e.g. Tetris Competition)

16 La generación del Dedo Gordo... La generación SMS: >Más fácil decir Te quiero >Propio lenguaje: qdt 1 rato + >Económico SMS es 20% de los ingresos de operadores en Europa

17 Servicios personalizados Jovenes Integrated PC Communications Multi-Party Conferencing Solteros One Voice Mailbox Call Screening One Phone Number Casados sin hijos Wireless / Wireline Converged Services Integrated PC Communications Padres en casa Integrated PC Communications Common Contacts Lists and Call Logs Call Screening One Voice Mailbox Empleados con hijos Wireless / Wireline Converged Services Call Screening One Phone Number Abuelos Integrated PC Communications VIDEO CALLING Nueva forma de atender a los clientes Source: Pollara Inc. Research Commissioned by Nortel

18 Ejemplos de tarifas en USA Vonage ATA for existing phone Class features Voice mail Virtual phone numbers Bundles Local, LD, & features over Internet Residential – $29.99/mo Traditional phones over high speed Internet Bell South – Value Answers Choice of calling features $54.99 w unlimited local and domestic LD PSTN Service Traditional phones MCI – Neighborhood Complete Call Waiting, Caller ID, Call Waiting ID, Speed Dial 8, Three-Way Calling $54.99/mo local & LD PSTN Service Traditional phones Verizon – Freedom Voice Mail, Caller ID, Call Waiting, Speed Dialing 8, Three Way Calling $59.95/mo w unlimited local & domestic LD Traditional phones Additional taxes/fees may apply to packages listed Source: Company websites AT&T – CallVantage Voice Mail Caller ID Call Waiting Call Forwarding …and more $34.99/mo w unlimited local and domestic LD VoIP over Broadband Traditional phones Comcast – Connections Any Distance No included features $48.95/mo w unlimited local & domestic LD PSTN Quality Traditional phones Cox – Unlimited Connection No included features Connections Any distance $48.75/mo w unlimited local & domestic LD PSTN Quality Traditional phones SBC – All Distance Connections CallNotes Plus, Caller ID, Call Waiting, Call Waiting ID, Three-Way Calling, Inline Wire Maintenance $48.95 w unlimited local and domestic LD PSTN Service Traditional phones ILECsVoIPIXCsMSOs SprintPCS Free and Clear Unlimited Nights and Weekends $40 w 500 local and domestic LD Wireless

19 Repercusiones…….. >Impacto a la vida personal >Impacto Economico

20 El Fenomeno de la……CONVERGENCIA

21 All IP Core All IP Core 3GPP2 Standards All IP Core Network Evolution Circuit Core Circuit Core Packet Core Packet Core Optimizing by Packetizing Voice Transport (P-MSC) Optimizing by Standardizing Services Framework (MMD) Path to an optimized Converged Core Network

22 Region 1 MSC Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 MSC PSTN 4 PSTN3 PSTN1 PSTN2 MSC Todays TDM Network High Infrastructure Costs & High Transport Costs 64kbps Take Advantage of P-MSC Distributed Architecture OPEX and CAPEX Reduction Transcoder Optimization (TO) Voice Quality Improvements Packet Network MGW PSTN 4 PSTN3 PSTN2 MGW PSTN1 MSC Server EVRC < 64 kbps

23 GSM/CDMA y WiFi Roaming Número único a través de SIP.WCS Hace/recibe llamadas desde diferentes dispositivos Mismo número Misma cuenta Usuario convergente WiFi SIP # Cell # GSM/CDMA WMN

24 La participación de Nortel en el cambio

25 Broadband Market Segments Consumers Broadband Enterprise Professionals Residential Broadband High Mobility Nomadic Distance Learners Telecommuters Fixed Enterprise Broadband VoIP, MoIP, Collaboration, Specialize Apps. Sales Force Automation You can use high bandwidth application and services everywhere ! , VoIP, Multimedia over IP (MoIP), VPN , VoIP, MoIP, VPN, Collaboration Specialized Apps Broadcast, Video Mail, Video On Demand, Real-time Interactive Classes Real-time Interactive Gaming, Video On Demand Broadcast TV/Movies, Fashion, Video Mail Existing Rollout 2007/8 GPRS, Mobile Circuit Switch 1X, EDGE HSDPA HSUPA EV-DO Rev A e Mobility 3GPP/2 4G? 1xEV -DO UMTS a/b/g n F-OFDM e Nomadi c Cable Modem d ADSL NG –DSL / DLC FTTx / PONS

26 CDMA Data Networks in Operation

27 Nortel deployment Source: Qualcomm & Nortel

28 Nortel presence in the world 111 GSM networks 100 BSS Radio Networks 90 Voice Core Networks 10 GSM-R Networks 81 Networks supporting GPRS 61 BSS Radio Networks 63 Packet Core Networks 10 EDGE Radio Networks Source: Nortel 24 WCDMA networks 13 UTRAN 20 Packet Core Networks 8 Voice Core Networks 17 networks in Commercial launch 136 GSM/GPRS/UMTS customers in 77 countries

29 NORTH AMERICA MicrocellCanada Microcell USA Cingular TMO AWS Motorola Western Wireless Dobson Edge Wireless Cincinatti Bell Cellular One Amarillo CGKC&H Easterbrook Cellular Endless Mountain Pine Cellular TMP Onelink West Virginia Wireless Farmer Wireless Union Telephone Triton PCS ENMR Plateau Highland Cellular Advantage Cellular XIT NPI Great Lakes of Iowa West Central Wireless Conestoga Blu sky Poka Lambro Caprok Corr Wireless Cross Wireless WESTERN EUROPE OrangeBelgium Orange Og VodafoneIceland Og Vodafone MobilkomAustria Mobilkom O2Ireland O2 OrangeFrance OrangeBouyguesSNCF O2UK O2 TMO WCML Network Rail O2Germany O2 TMO TMODB SIRTIItaly SIRTI OrangeNetherlands Orange AycellTurkey Aycell RenfeSpain Renfe ASIA PACIFIC OptusAustralia Optus Telstra India BPL Nepal NTC PTMLPakistan PTML PMCPapua N.G. PMC GREATER CHINA China CMCC (7) CUTC (9) Qingai-Tibet.Taiwan Chunghwa T. HK Sunday AFRICA & MIDDLE EAST Burkina-Faso Onatel TelecelBurundi Telecel TelecelCAR Telecel TelecelZambia Telecel MattelMauritania Mattel ComstarIvory Coast Comstar 108 networks in 50 countries CALA CopesaParaguay Copesa ApuaAntigua Apua C&WWest Indies C&W AWSCaribbean AWS CCTBritish islands CCT CTCuracao CT SetarAruba Setar TSTTTrinidad TSTT Suriname Telesur SercomGuatemalaSercom AncelUruguay Ancel NuevatelBolivia Nuevatel BaTel CoBahamas BaTel Co CingularPuerto Rico Cingular ClaroBrazil Claro TWTC GT&TGuyana TWTC GT&T Nortel GSM GPRS GSM-R Presence 2004 GSM GPRS Core GSM R EAST. & CENTRAL EUROPE CentertelPoland Centertel OrangeSlovakia OrangeSZR TMOHungary TMO MobiFonRomania MobiFon BaykalWestcomRussia BaykalWestcom Smarts Go MobileMalta Go Mobile TMOCzech Rep. TMO Czech Railways Czech Railways

30 Distribuida a través de toda la ciudad Transporte público, edificios públicos y educativos. Red operada por Qware. Descripción de la red: 10,000 wireless mesh access points An area of 272 square kilometers where 90 percent of Taipei's 2.65 million people live Aplicaciones principales: Comunicación entre edificios. Web browsing Video streaming Video surveillance con Camaras WiFi Comunicaciones Multimedia. Mobilidad Outdoor Comunicaciones con PDS, WiFi Phone o PC. Compromiso con la visión M-City. Press Release eases/2004d/11_17_04_taipei_city.html eases/2004d/11_17_04_taipei_city.html La red WiFi más grande del mundo Ciudad de Taipei, Taiwan M-City

31 Programmable Server GLMS ClientsDevices Application Developers Service Enablers Networks/ Technologies System Integration El nuevo ecosistema HSS Call Session Controller Billing Mediation PoC IM/Chat MCS 5200 App Server Capacidades únicas y asociaciones claves para suministrar nuevos servicios

32 Conclusiones Las tecnologías inalámbricas están: >Modificando nuestro comportamiento, debemos adaptarnos al cambio rápidamente. >Creando nuevas oportunidades de negocios, especialmente en el desarrollo de aplicaciones. >Nortel es parte del liderazgo tecnológico necesario.

33 Muchísimas Gracias……..!!!!!


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